The explosion of digital users participating in financial markets has risen faster than most regulators and exchanges can keep pace with, especially when it comes to the younger and inexperienced retail trading group. They often are not familiar with the risks, legal obligations, and conducting sophisticated financial analyses. That is why many professionals have characterized […]
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Again, the crypto world shows the risks of investing for the retail investor community in the wild west. ICHI governance tokens plunged 90% in a single day. “The Ichi Fuse Pool (#136) is currently experiencing bad debt due to cascading liquidations,” a statement in a tweet by the yield-generating platform Rari. “This is a permissionless […]
Signal or noise? This is the classical question that guides a considerable amount of work in computational finance and in data mining. This research paper evaluates competing sentiment indicators for EUR/USD trading and identifies those with the highest predictive value for future exchange rate developments. Sentiment indicators are based on different types of sources, e.g. traditional […]
Sentiment indicators are often appealing to investors since financial markets are known to be influenced not only by economic fundamentals but also by emotions (Shiller & Akerlof, 2009). In current studies, however, a range of alternative sentiment indices is used each of which purports to have predictive value for the movements in financial markets. Consequently, […]
This work examines the predictive power of public data by aggregating information from multiple online sources. Our sources include microblogging sites like Twitter, online message boards like Yahoo! Finance, and traditional news articles. The subject of prediction are daily stock price movements from Standard & Poor’s 500 index (S&P 500) during a period from June […]