Breakdown: Predictive Values of Tweets, Forums and News in EUR/USD Trading

Signal or noise? This is the classical question that guides a considerable amount of work in computational finance and in data mining. This research paper evaluates competing sentiment indicators for EUR/USD trading and identifies those with the highest predictive value for future exchange rate developments. Sentiment indicators are based on different types of sources, e.g. traditional […]

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Differential Effects of Buy and Sell Rules in Sentiment-Informed EUR/USD Trading

Sentiment indicators are often appealing to investors since financial markets are known to be influenced not only by economic fundamentals but also by emotions (Shiller & Akerlof, 2009). In current studies, however, a range of alternative sentiment indices is used each of which purports to have predictive value for the movements in financial markets. Consequently, […]

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Predictive Analytics On Public Data – The Case Of Stock Markets

This work examines the predictive power of public data by aggregating information from multiple online sources. Our sources include microblogging sites like Twitter, online message boards like Yahoo! Finance, and traditional news articles. The subject of prediction are daily stock price movements from Standard & Poor’s 500 index (S&P 500) during a period from June […]

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